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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 19
Jan 28, 2023 at 8pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
FC Utrecht

AZ
5 - 5
Utrecht

Dekker (20'), Pavlidis (31', 34', 78'), de Wit (70')
FT(HT: 3-3)
Douvikas (12', 16', 65'), Viergever (41'), van de Streek (80')
Viergever (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 1-4 AZ
Wednesday, January 25 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 1-0 Excelsior
Wednesday, January 25 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 FC Utrecht

AZ Alkmaar are firing on all cylinders at the moment, and it is hard to envisage any other result rather than a home victory. That said, we expect FC Utrecht to put up a decent fight, giving rise to an absorbing affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 59.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 20.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.53%) and 1-0 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawFC Utrecht
59.12% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 20.66% (0.0019999999999989 0) 20.21% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 60.04% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.11% (0.00099999999999767 0)36.89% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.93% (0.0020000000000024 0)59.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.76% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)12.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.06% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)37.94%
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.41% (0.0019999999999953 0)31.59% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.01% (0.0049999999999955 0)67.99% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 59.12%
    FC Utrecht 20.21%
    Draw 20.66%
AZ AlkmaarDrawFC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.12% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.88% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.97%
3-2 @ 3.97%
4-1 @ 3.62%
4-0 @ 3.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.08%
5-1 @ 1.52%
5-0 @ 1.32%
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 59.12%
1-1 @ 9.36%
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 3.86%
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 20.66%
1-2 @ 5.39%
0-1 @ 4.45%
0-2 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.07%
0-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 20.21%

How you voted: AZ vs Utrecht

AZ Alkmaar
85.4%
Draw
7.3%
FC Utrecht
7.3%
41
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 1.30pm
May 11, 2022 7pm
Utrecht
2-2
AZ
Van de Streek (37'), Douvikas (90+4')
van Overeem (57')
Pavlidis (12', 15')
de Wit (69')
Oct 17, 2021 11.15am
AZ
5-1
Utrecht
Pavlidis (6'), Karlsson (12'), De Wit (40', 56'), Gudmundsson (86' pen.)
Maduro (90')
Jan 27, 2021 5.45pm
Dec 27, 2020 1.30pm
Utrecht
2-2
AZ
Elia (30'), Dalmau (90+3')
Hoogma (16'), van Overeem (45+4'), Gustafson (63')
Koopmeiners (64' pen.), Stengs (83')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1312014593636
2FC UtrechtUtrecht12101122121031
3Feyenoord1384131131828
4Ajax1182125111426
5FC Twente1374226121425
6Go Ahead Eagles135351820-218
7AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
8Fortuna SittardSittard135261418-417
9NECNijmegen135172012816
10Willem II124351312115
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen134271326-1314
13Heracles133461425-1113
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Groningen133371224-1212
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City13139630-246
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1312101233-215


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