Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 56.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.47%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a FC Twente win it was 1-0 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
