RKC Waalwijk1 - 3AZ
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, August 12 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Thursday, August 17 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
We said: RKC Waalwijk 1-3 AZ Alkmaar
Home advantage has the potential to make a difference in this fixture, particularly when AZ are juggling other commitments. Nevertheless, the visitors have been free-scoring in recent games and they have the capabilities to make this a comfortable afternoon's work. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 61.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 16.03%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.95%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-0 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
16.03% ( 0.36) | 22.27% ( -0.01) | 61.71% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 46.66% ( 0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.32% ( 0.63) | 50.68% ( -0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.41% ( 0.56) | 72.59% ( -0.55) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.5% ( 0.87) | 44.5% ( -0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.47% ( 0.7) | 80.53% ( -0.69) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.06% ( 0.1) | 15.94% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.8% ( 0.18) | 45.2% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 1-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.48% Total : 16.03% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.71% Total : 22.26% | 0-1 @ 13.02% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 11.95% ( -0.23)1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 7.32% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 5.93% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 3.36% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.72% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.08)0-5 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.97% Total : 61.7% |
