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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 51.99%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 25% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Volendam |
51.99% (![]() | 23.01% (![]() | 25% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.34% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.89% (![]() | 42.1% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.49% (![]() | 64.51% (![]() |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.74% (![]() | 16.26% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.21% (![]() | 45.79% (![]() |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.66% | 30.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.48% (![]() | 66.52% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Volendam |
2-1 @ 9.71% 1-0 @ 8.96% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.14% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.88% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.93% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.51% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.67% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 3.4% Total : 51.99% | 1-1 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 5.79% 0-0 @ 4.93% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.39% ( ![]() Other @ 0.21% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 6.37% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.88% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.51% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.53% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.4% ( ![]() Other @ 3.01% Total : 25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 22 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 49 | 18 | 31 | 54 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 26 | 45 | 52 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 43 |
4 | Feyenoord | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 40 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 40 |
6 | FC Twente | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 39 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Groningen | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 27 |
9 | Heerenveen | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 27 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 27 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 26 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 25 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 25 |
14 | Willem II | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 24 |
15 | Heracles | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 24 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 17 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 45 | -31 | 14 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |