Eredivisie | Gameweek 7

Sep 30, 2023 at 8pm UK

De Grolsch Veste

FC Twente
1 - 0
Heerenveen

Vlap (65')
Regeer (49'), Rots (57'), van Wolfswinkel (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Haye (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Twente

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: FC Twente 1-0 Vitesse
Wednesday, September 27 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Heerenveen

All competitions

Last Game: Heerenveen 0-3 Excelsior
Saturday, September 23 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

We said: FC Twente 2-0 Heerenveen

FC Twente have a phenomenal record on their own patch, having gone undefeated at De Grolsch Veste in the Eredivisie across the whole of the 2022-23 campaign. The Tukkers have kicked off with three wins from three at home this season, so they should have no problem brushing aside an out-of-form Heerenveen side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 70.38%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 12.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 3-0 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC Twente	Draw	Heerenveen
70.38% ( 0.94)	16.67% ( -0.28)	12.95% ( -0.66)

Both teams to score 58.1% (

-0.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.26% (

-0.28)

31.73% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.74% (

-0.33)

53.25% (

0.33)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.94% (

0.13)

8.05% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.66% (

0.32)

28.33% (

-0.32)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.19% (

-1.13)

36.8% (

1.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.4% (

-1.14)

73.59% (

1.14)

Score Analysis

FC Twente 70.38%

Heerenveen 12.95%

Draw 16.67%

FC Twente	Draw	Heerenveen
2-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.05) 5-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.05) 6-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.57% Total : 70.38%	1-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.23% Total : 16.67%	1-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.97% Total : 12.95%