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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
AZ Alkmaar

Ajax
1 - 2
AZ

van den Boomen (73')
Bergwijn (50'), Vos (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pavlidis (45'), de Wit (57')
Martins Indi (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AEK Athens 1-1 Ajax
Thursday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: AZ 1-0 Legia
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Ajax 0-1 AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar have a solid record against Ajax, and they have looked a far superior side at the beginning of the season, currently sitting 14 points clear in the Eredivisie table. As such, we think the visitors may be able to pick up a narrow victory this weekend, extending their unbeaten run to eight Eredivisie games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 37.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.1%) and 0-2 (5.52%). The likeliest Ajax win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.

Result
AjaxDrawAZ Alkmaar
37.51% (0.704 0.7) 23.91% (0.186 0.19) 38.57% (-0.89 -0.89)
Both teams to score 61.82% (-0.657 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.59% (-0.872 -0.87)40.41% (0.872 0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.21% (-0.90199999999999 -0.9)62.79% (0.90199999999999 0.9)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.36% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)21.63% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.25% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)54.75% (0.055 0.05)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.89% (-0.80199999999999 -0.8)21.11% (0.802 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.05% (-1.262 -1.26)53.94% (1.261 1.26)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 37.51%
    AZ Alkmaar 38.57%
    Draw 23.91%
AjaxDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 8.32% (0.112 0.11)
1-0 @ 6.99% (0.269 0.27)
2-0 @ 5.35% (0.201 0.2)
3-1 @ 4.25% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.73% (0.099 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 37.51%
1-1 @ 10.87% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 6.47% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.57% (0.181 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.71% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.91%
1-2 @ 8.46% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-1 @ 7.1% (0.111 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.52% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.39% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-3 @ 3.36% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.71% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 38.57%

How you voted: Ajax vs AZ

Ajax
35.0%
Draw
10.0%
AZ Alkmaar
55.0%
40
Head to Head
May 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 31
Ajax
0-0
AZ
Sep 18, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 7
AZ
2-1
Ajax
De Wit (40'), Odgaard (45+5')
Kudus (12')
May 8, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 28
AZ
2-2
Ajax
Pavlidis (62'), Evjen (75')
Clasie (72'), Pavlidis (90+1'), Wijndal (90+4')
Brobbey (42'), Alvarez (86')
Klaassen (78')
Mar 3, 2022 7pm
Semi-Finals
AZ
0-2
Ajax

Hatzidiakos (27'), Clasie (71')
Berghuis (11'), Klaassen (89')
Haller (37'), Blind (74')
Dec 12, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 15
Ajax
1-2
AZ
Haller (73')
Martinez (33'), Gravenberch (90+1')
Pavlidis (50'), Aboukhlal (83')
Wijndal (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1110013792830
2Ajax108112391425
3FC UtrechtUtrecht108111911825
4Feyenoord1164124121222
5FC Twente116322291321
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1152422121017
7Fortuna SittardSittard115241213-117
8Go Ahead Eagles114341519-415
9NAC BredaNAC Breda115061218-615
10NECNijmegen114161610613
11Willem II113351111012
12Heracles113351222-1012
13Sparta RotterdamSparta112541217-511
14Heerenveen113261223-1111
15Groningen112361119-89
16PEC Zwolle112361121-109
17Almere CityAlmere City11137523-186
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk111191028-184


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