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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
44.62% ( 0.15) | 25.29% ( 0.17) | 30.09% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 54.75% ( -0.74) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.31% ( -0.89) | 48.69% ( 0.89) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.2% ( -0.81) | 70.8% ( 0.81) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.19% ( -0.31) | 21.81% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.97% ( -0.47) | 55.02% ( 0.46) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.02% ( -0.67) | 29.98% ( 0.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.9% ( -0.82) | 66.09% ( 0.82) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
1-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.38% Total : 44.62% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.22% Total : 30.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |