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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
44.62% ( 0.15) | 25.29% ( 0.17) | 30.09% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 54.75% ( -0.74) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.31% ( -0.89) | 48.69% ( 0.89) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.2% ( -0.81) | 70.8% ( 0.81) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.19% ( -0.31) | 21.81% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.97% ( -0.47) | 55.02% ( 0.46) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.02% ( -0.67) | 29.98% ( 0.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.9% ( -0.82) | 66.09% ( 0.82) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
1-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.38% Total : 44.62% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.22% Total : 30.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |