MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 18:39:44| >> :600:360197:360197:
Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
AZ Alkmaar
Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 18, 2022 at 8pm UK
AFAS Stadion
Gil Vicente logo

AZ
4 - 0
Gil Vicente

de Wit (24'), Lahdo (78'), Pavlidis (85'), de Wit (89')
Milos (43'), Beukema (43'), de Wit (74'), Pavlidis (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gomes (43'), Aburjania (57'), Boselli (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between AZ Alkmaar and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

Last Six:
Last Game: Sparta 2-3 AZ
Sunday, August 14 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Gil Vicente

Last Six:
Last Game: Arouca 1-0 Gil Vicente
Monday, August 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: AZ Alkmaar 2-0 Gil Vicente

 Gil Vicente put up an eye-catching display in their home leg against Dundee United, and they certainly have the potential to challenge their hosts, but we see Thursday's trip being a step too far and back the Dutch outfit to take a healthy lead to Portugal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 19.57%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawGil Vicente
58.27% (0.249 0.25) 22.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 19.57% (-0.246 -0.25)
Both teams to score 53.74% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.31% (-0.332 -0.33)44.69% (0.328 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.94% (-0.322 -0.32)67.05% (0.318 0.32)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.96% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)15.03% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.48% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)43.52% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.25% (-0.44900000000001 -0.45)36.75% (0.447 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.46% (-0.453 -0.45)73.54% (0.45 0.45)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 58.26%
    Gil Vicente 19.57%
    Draw 22.16%
AZ AlkmaarDrawGil Vicente
1-0 @ 10.46% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.93%
2-0 @ 9.92% (0.12 0.12)
3-1 @ 6.27% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.27% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.97% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.97% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.49% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.13% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 58.26%
1-1 @ 10.48% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.52% (0.078 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.16%
0-1 @ 5.53% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.25% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.77% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 0.92% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 19.57%

How you voted: AZ vs Gil Vicente

AZ Alkmaar
87.3%
Draw
5.6%
Gil Vicente
7.0%
71
rhs 2.0
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