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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 77.65%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 7.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.79%) and 1-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 0-1 (2.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
77.65% ( 1.45) | 14.45% ( -0.47) | 7.9% ( -0.97) |
Both teams to score 46.21% ( -2.91) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.14% ( -1.29) | 36.86% ( 1.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.96% ( -1.41) | 59.04% ( 1.41) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.27% ( 0.02) | 7.73% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.47% ( 0.03) | 27.53% ( -0.03) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.08% ( -3.16) | 49.92% ( 3.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.4% ( -2.3) | 84.6% ( 2.3) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
2-0 @ 12.64% ( 0.8) 3-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.69) 1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.62) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.44) 4-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.32) 5-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.2) 6-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.1) 6-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.53% Total : 77.64% | 1-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.37) Other @ 0.68% Total : 14.45% | 0-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.9% Total : 7.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
7 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
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