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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 51.56%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | Feyenoord |
25.81% ( -0.52) | 22.63% ( 0.35) | 51.56% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 60.53% ( -1.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.41% ( -2.15) | 39.59% ( 2.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.06% ( -2.28) | 61.94% ( 2.28) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.63% ( -1.52) | 28.37% ( 1.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.89% ( -1.96) | 64.11% ( 1.95) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.5% ( -0.71) | 15.5% ( 0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.6% ( -1.35) | 44.39% ( 1.34) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.53% Total : 25.81% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.43) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.62% | 1-2 @ 9.63% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.61) 0-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.39) 1-3 @ 5.98% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 4.75% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.23) 1-4 @ 2.79% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.15) 1-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.79% Total : 51.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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