KNVB Beker | Round of 16

Feb 9, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

De Grolsch Veste

FC Twente
0 - 1
Ajax

Zerrouki (29'), van Wolfswinkel (42'), Ugalde (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kudus (70')
Taylor (28'), Berghuis (83'), Alvarez (87')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's KNVB Beker clash between FC Twente and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Twente

All competitions

Last Game: Groningen 1-1 FC Twente
Sunday, February 5 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ajax

All competitions

Last Game: Cambuur 0-5 Ajax
Sunday, February 5 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Twente will be a threat to Ajax in this affair and have the ability to knock their visitors out of the KNVB Cup on Thursday. However, we believe that Ajax's attacking style and rejuvenated potency in front of goal will be too much in the end for Twente to be able to cope with, and that they will eventually break down the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 56.72%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 22.25% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.89%) and 0-1 (7.61%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 2-1 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
FC Twente	Draw	Ajax
22.25% ( 0.64)	21.04% ( 0.29)	56.72% ( -0.93)

Both teams to score 61.9% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.13% (

-0.57)

35.87% (

0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.04% (

-0.63)

57.96% (

0.63)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.83% (

0.23)

29.17% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.89% (

0.28)

65.12% (

-0.28)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.4% (

-0.44)

12.6% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.3% (

-0.94)

38.7% (

0.94)

Score Analysis

FC Twente 22.25%

Ajax 56.72%

Draw 21.04%

FC Twente	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.18% Total : 22.25%	1-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.3% Total : 21.04%	1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.89% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 6.71% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 5.45% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 3.48% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 2.82% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 2.14% ( -0.06) 1-5 @ 1.44% ( -0.08) 0-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.07) Other @ 4.17% Total : 56.72%