Eredivisie | Gameweek 20

Feb 3, 2023 at 7pm UK

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Sittard
0 - 0
Sparta

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions

Last Game: Cambuur 1-2 Sittard
Sunday, January 29 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: Nijmegen 1-1 Sparta
Saturday, January 28 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

We said: Fortuna Sittard 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam

Fortuna Sittard will have plenty of confidence from their back-to-back wins, but against a Sparta Rotterdam side who are particularly hard to beat, we see a draw as the most likely outcome on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Fortuna Sittard	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
36.53% ( 0.93)	25.72% ( -0.28)	37.74% ( -0.65)

Both teams to score 55.2% (

1.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.06% (

1.28)

48.94% (

-1.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.97% (

1.15)

71.02% (

-1.15)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.96% (

1.14)

26.04% (

-1.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.92% (

1.51)

61.08% (

-1.51)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.63% (

0.23)

25.36% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.84% (

0.32)

60.16% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Fortuna Sittard 36.53%

Sparta Rotterdam 37.74%

Draw 25.72%

Fortuna Sittard	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
1-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.44% Total : 36.53%	1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.72%	0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.42) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.58% Total : 37.74%