Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.