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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Heracles |
47.74% | 24.46% | 27.8% |
Both teams to score 56.01% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.65% | 46.35% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.36% | 68.63% |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.5% | 19.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.63% | 51.37% |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.57% | 30.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.37% | 66.62% |
Score Analysis |
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Heracles |
1-0 @ 9.7% 2-1 @ 9.43% 2-0 @ 7.93% 3-1 @ 5.14% 3-0 @ 4.32% 3-2 @ 3.06% 4-1 @ 2.1% 4-0 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.04% Total : 47.74% | 1-1 @ 11.53% 0-0 @ 5.93% 2-2 @ 5.61% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.45% | 0-1 @ 7.06% 1-2 @ 6.87% 0-2 @ 4.2% 1-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.23% 0-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 3.06% Total : 27.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 16 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 16 |
4 | FC Twente | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
5 | Ajax | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
6 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Groningen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
11 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
15 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
16 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |