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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | NEC |
35.38% ( -0.19) | 25.4% ( -0) | 39.22% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 56.2% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.4% ( -0.01) | 47.6% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.2% ( -0.01) | 69.8% ( 0.01) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.92% ( -0.12) | 26.08% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.87% ( -0.16) | 61.13% ( 0.16) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.03% ( 0.09) | 23.97% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.79% ( 0.14) | 58.21% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | NEC |
1-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.33% Total : 35.38% | 1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 39.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
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