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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Fortuna Sittard

Ajax
2 - 2
Sittard

Taylor (8'), Brobbey (88')
Kaplan (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Duarte (49'), Sierhuis (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 0-0 Aston Villa
Thursday, March 7 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Ajax 2-2 Fortuna Sittard

Ajax are unbeaten in 10 matches against Fortuna, and even if that is expected to become 11 this weekend, the home side's European exertions and an eye on next week's match at Villa Park could mean the Sittard outfit claim a point in Amsterdam. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 58.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 20.65%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.49%) and 1-0 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
AjaxDrawFortuna Sittard
58.46% (1.033 1.03) 20.89% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 20.65% (-1.041 -1.04)
Both teams to score 59.97% (-1.704 -1.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.68% (-1.505 -1.51)37.32% (1.512 1.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.47% (-1.641 -1.64)59.54% (1.648 1.65)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.44% (-0.18100000000001 -0.18)12.56% (0.188 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.38% (-0.385 -0.38)38.62% (0.392 0.39)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.58% (-1.8 -1.8)31.42% (1.807 1.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.21% (-2.141 -2.14)67.8% (2.148 2.15)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 58.46%
    Fortuna Sittard 20.66%
    Draw 20.89%
AjaxDrawFortuna Sittard
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
2-0 @ 8.49% (0.493 0.49)
1-0 @ 8.19% (0.531 0.53)
3-1 @ 6.8% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.87% (0.301 0.3)
3-2 @ 3.94% (-0.19 -0.19)
4-1 @ 3.53% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.05% (0.135 0.14)
4-2 @ 2.04% (-0.114 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.46% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.26% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 4%
Total : 58.46%
1-1 @ 9.48% (0.162 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.232 -0.23)
0-0 @ 3.95% (0.283 0.28)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.155 -0.16)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 20.89%
1-2 @ 5.49% (-0.183 -0.18)
0-1 @ 4.57% (0.111 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.65% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.207 -0.21)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.182 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 20.66%

How you voted: Ajax vs Sittard

Ajax
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Fortuna Sittard
0.0%
32
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 4
Sittard
0-0
Ajax
Buijs (37+37'), Dijks (65'), Rosier (90'), Oratmangoen (90+2')
Avila (36'), Steijn (37'), Brobbey (45+6')
Apr 9, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 28
Ajax
4-0
Sittard
Berghuis (6', 27'), Bergwijn (54'), Taylor (86')
Aug 6, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 1
Sittard
2-3
Ajax
Gladon (6'), Yilmaz (87')
Seuntjens (27'), Ferati (82'), Gladon (88')
Taylor (48'), Rensch (51'), Brobbey (62')
Dec 22, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 17
Ajax
5-0
Sittard
Blind (14'), Antony (22'), Rensch (82'), Haller (90' pen., 90+2')

van Osch (90+2')
Sep 21, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 5
Sittard
0-5
Ajax

Janssen (49')
Berghuis (11'), Mazraoui (27'), Tadic (38'), Kudus (72'), Tagliafico (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV19151362184446
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1912433629740
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ19104533191434
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8Fortuna SittardSittard197482632-625
9NAC BredaNAC Breda1981102332-925
10Heerenveen197392135-1424
11NECNijmegen1972102825323
12Willem II196582426-223
13PEC Zwolle195591928-920
14Heracles184682134-1318
15Groningen184591528-1317
16Sparta RotterdamSparta192891628-1214
17Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1915132044-248


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