Eredivisie | Gameweek 24

Mar 3, 2024 at 3.45pm UK

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Sittard
5 - 2
Excelsior

Lonwijk (13'), Sierhuis (15', 29', 34'), Guth (68')
Lonwijk (2'), Pinto (62')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Sanches Fernandes (61'), Omorowa (82')
Baas (36'), Zagre (58'), Uddenas (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 0-1 Sittard
Saturday, February 24 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Last Game: Excelsior 1-2 Vitesse
Sunday, February 25 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Fortuna Sittard 2-1 SBV Excelsior

Clean sheets have been few and far between for both teams, so we expect an entertaining affair here with the home side just about coming out on top in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 52.11%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.

Result
Fortuna Sittard	Draw	SBV Excelsior
52.11% ( 0.29)	22.56% ( -0.18)	25.33% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 60.26% (

0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.27% (

0.76)

39.73% (

-0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.92% (

0.78)

62.08% (

-0.78)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.64% (

0.37)

15.36% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.86% (

0.69)

44.14% (

-0.69)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.2% (

0.32)

28.81% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.35% (

0.4)

64.66% (

-0.4)

Score Analysis

Fortuna Sittard 52.11%

SBV Excelsior 25.33%

Draw 22.56%

Fortuna Sittard	Draw	SBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.84% Total : 52.11%	1-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.56%	1-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.4% Total : 25.33%