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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Fortuna Sittard

Sparta
4 - 0
Sittard

Verschueren (28'), Lauritsen (58', 88'), Neghli (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sparta 2-2 Ajax
Sunday, March 17 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 3-1 PEC Zwolle
Saturday, March 16 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 Fortuna Sittard

Fortuna Sittard showed plenty of encouraging signs before the break, while their hosts struggled despite a creditable draw with Ajax last time out. Given the shifting momentum between the two mid-table teams, we anticipate Fortunezen coming out on top and stretching the gap on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 42.93%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawFortuna Sittard
42.93% (0.091999999999999 0.09) 25.36% (0.032 0.03) 31.71% (-0.118 -0.12)
Both teams to score 55.3% (-0.151 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.68% (-0.176 -0.18)48.33% (0.182 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.53% (-0.161 -0.16)70.47% (0.166 0.17)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.56% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)22.45% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.02% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)55.98% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31% (-0.164 -0.16)28.7% (0.169 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.48% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)64.52% (0.21299999999999 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 42.93%
    Fortuna Sittard 31.71%
    Draw 25.36%
Sparta RotterdamDrawFortuna Sittard
1-0 @ 9.62% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.19% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.58% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 42.93%
1-1 @ 12.01% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 8.04% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.5% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 31.71%

How you voted: Sparta vs Sittard

Sparta Rotterdam
41.7%
Draw
31.3%
Fortuna Sittard
27.1%
48
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 17
Sittard
0-2
Sparta

Halilovic (50'), Rosier (90+4'), Peterson (90+3')
Mito (33'), Metinho (48')
van der Kust (37')
Feb 3, 2023 7pm
Oct 29, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 12
Sparta
3-1
Sittard
Verschueren (26', 83'), Van Crooij (54' pen.)
Noslin (19')
Apr 16, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 21
Sittard
3-0
Sparta
Seuntjens (10'), Gladon (35', 77')
Seuntjens (27')

Okoye (11'), de Kamps (33'), van Crooij (83')
Sep 12, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 4
Sparta
3-1
Sittard
Smeets (21'), Thy (29'), Emegha (73')
Beugelsdijk (42'), Pinto (44')
Seuntjens (49')
Flemming (63')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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