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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 54.48%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 24.7% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.75%) and 3-1 (6.63%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
54.48% ( -1.25) | 20.82% ( 0.63) | 24.7% ( 0.62) |
Both teams to score 66% ( -1.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.1% ( -2.47) | 31.9% ( 2.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.55% ( -2.94) | 53.45% ( 2.94) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.06% ( -1.14) | 11.94% ( 1.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.69% ( -2.48) | 37.31% ( 2.48) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.95% ( -0.93) | 25.05% ( 0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.27% ( -1.3) | 59.72% ( 1.29) |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.56) 3-0 @ 4.79% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.27) 4-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.26) 5-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.19) 4-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.15) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.11) 5-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.79% Total : 54.48% | 1-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.55) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.39) 3-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.44% Total : 20.82% | 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.44) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.48% Total : 24.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
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