MX23RW : Friday, November 22 11:59:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2024 at 7pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
Waalwijk logo

Excelsior
1 - 1
RKC Waalwijk

Horemans (28')
de Moes (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 4-0 Excelsior
Sunday, March 10 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 3-1 Vitesse
Saturday, March 9 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-1 RKC Waalwijk

Excelsior have been abysmal of late, to say the least, and Waalwijk will be looking to heap more misery on their hosts. However, we can see the teams cancelling each other to settle for a share of the spoils in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawRKC Waalwijk
46.57% (0.921 0.92) 24.44% (0.064 0.06) 28.99% (-0.983 -0.98)
Both teams to score 56.92% (-0.837 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.45% (-0.82400000000001 -0.82)45.55% (0.824 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.12% (-0.789 -0.79)67.88% (0.789 0.79)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.34% (0.057000000000002 0.06)19.66% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.36% (0.094000000000001 0.09)51.64% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.85% (-1.093 -1.09)29.15% (1.093 1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.91% (-1.368 -1.37)65.09% (1.368 1.37)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 46.57%
    RKC Waalwijk 28.99%
    Draw 24.44%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawRKC Waalwijk
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.077 0.08)
1-0 @ 9.32% (0.34 0.34)
2-0 @ 7.58% (0.29 0.29)
3-1 @ 5.07% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.11% (0.164 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.06% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.069 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 46.57%
1-1 @ 11.49% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.73% (0.199 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 7.08% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-1 @ 7.07% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.36% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.91% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 28.99%

How you voted: Excelsior vs RKC Waalwijk

SBV Excelsior
40.0%
Draw
30.0%
RKC Waalwijk
30.0%
10
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 14
RKC Waalwijk
2-2
Excelsior
Oukili (21', 60')
Van den Buijs (74' og.), Baas (80')
Feb 4, 2023 8pm
Sep 4, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 5
RKC Waalwijk
5-2
Excelsior
Adewoye (38'), Clement (50'), Lutonda (60'), Anita (80'), Kramer (90+1')
Baas (15'), El Yaakoubi (43')
May 22, 2019 5.30pm
Second Round
Excelsior
1-1
RKC Waalwijk
Omarsson (49')
Matthys (56')
Spierings (38')
Spierings (35'), Hansson (35'), Vaessen (89')
Spierings (70')
May 19, 2019 1.30pm
Second Round
RKC Waalwijk
2-1
Excelsior
Bilate (53'), Gaari (81')
Gaari (37'), Mulder (88')
Fortes (71')
Koolwijk (40')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
19-24
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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