Eredivisie | Gameweek 26

Mar 16, 2024 at 7pm UK

Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Excelsior
1 - 1
RKC Waalwijk

Horemans (28')
de Moes (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Seuntjens (76')
van den Buijs (69'), Roemeratoe (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Last Game: AZ 4-0 Excelsior
Sunday, March 10 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 3-1 Vitesse
Saturday, March 9 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-1 RKC Waalwijk

Excelsior have been abysmal of late, to say the least, and Waalwijk will be looking to heap more misery on their hosts. However, we can see the teams cancelling each other to settle for a share of the spoils in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	RKC Waalwijk
46.57% ( 0.92)	24.44% ( 0.06)	28.99% ( -0.98)

Both teams to score 56.92% (

-0.84)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.45% (

-0.82)

45.55% (

0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.12% (

-0.79)

67.88% (

0.79)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.34% (

0.06)

19.66% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.36% (

0.09)

51.64% (

-0.09)

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.85% (

-1.09)

29.15% (

1.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.91% (

-1.37)

65.09% (

1.37)

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 46.57%

RKC Waalwijk 28.99%

Draw 24.44%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	RKC Waalwijk
2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.02% Total : 46.57%	1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.44%	1-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.42% Total : 28.99%