Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Almere City 2-1 Excelsior
Friday, February 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Friday, February 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 3-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, February 3 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, February 3 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
We said: SBV Excelsior 1-2 FC Twente
Given Excelsior's home struggles and Twente's bad form on the road, Saturday's contest could easily swing either way, but we are backing the visitors to just about get the job done in the end. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 58.73%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.98%) and 0-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 2-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | FC Twente |
20.1% ( 0.18) | 21.17% ( 0.13) | 58.73% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 58.03% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
