Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sparta 4-2 Excelsior
Saturday, February 17 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, February 17 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Vitesse 1-1 Volendam
Sunday, February 18 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, February 18 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
We said: SBV Excelsior 1-0 Vitesse
Vitesse have been poor on both ends of the pitch all-season long and it is hard to see them coming away with a positive result here. We are backing Excelsior to get the job done at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Vitesse |
32.12% ( -0.01) | 25.3% ( 0) | 42.58% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.67% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
