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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 78.92%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 8.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.6%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Heracles |
78.92% ( 0.05) | 12.75% ( -0.1) | 8.33% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 56.32% ( 0.8) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.13% ( 0.78) | 25.87% ( -0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.96% ( 0.99) | 46.05% ( -0.99) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.84% ( 0.16) | 5.17% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.53% ( 0.48) | 20.47% ( -0.48) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.39% ( 0.75) | 40.62% ( -0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.79% ( 0.67) | 77.21% ( -0.67) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Heracles |
2-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.26) 3-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.09) 6-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.03) 6-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.06) 5-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.07) Other @ 5.69% Total : 78.92% | 1-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.21% Total : 12.75% | 1-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.8% Total : 8.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 16 |
3 | FC Twente | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
5 | Ajax | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
6 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Groningen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
11 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
15 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
16 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 |
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