Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sittard 1-2 AZ
Saturday, February 17 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, February 17 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 1-2 Ajax
Thursday, February 22 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, February 22 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
We said: AZ Alkmaar 1-3 Ajax
While AZ have the benefit of having a week of preparation for this game, Ajax are on a high after their Europa Conference League exploits. With that in mind, we are backing the visitors to put in another improved performance to earn a second crucial win in the context of their season in quick succession. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 49.97%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.17%) and 2-0 (5.13%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Ajax |
49.97% ( -0.39) | 20.53% ( 0.12) | 29.49% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 71.77% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.7% ( -0.39) | 26.3% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.4% ( -0.5) | 46.6% ( 0.5) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.71% ( -0.24) | 11.29% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.08% ( -0.53) | 35.92% ( 0.53) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.9% ( -0.06) | 19.1% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.28% ( -0.09) | 50.72% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar 49.97%
Ajax 29.49%
Draw 20.53%
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.22% Total : 49.97% | 1-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.74% Total : 20.53% | 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.88% ( -0)0-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.61% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.21% Total : 29.49% |
How you voted: AZ vs Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
38.1%Draw
21.4%Ajax
40.5%42
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 8
Ajax
1-2
AZ
May 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 31
Ajax
0-0
AZ
Sep 18, 2022 3.45pm
Mar 3, 2022 7pm
Semi-Finals
AZ
0-2
Ajax
