Eredivisie | Gameweek 24

Mar 2, 2024 at 8pm UK

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta
1 - 1
AZ

Verschueren (74')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sugawara (25')
Clasie (38'), Belic (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: Nijmegen 2-0 Sparta
Saturday, February 24 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: AZ 2-0 Ajax
Sunday, February 25 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 AZ Alkmaar

Sparta have struggled for goals of late, but we can see them finding the back of the net here. That said, we are backing AZ Alkmaar to come away with maximum points at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
32.15% ( -0.1)	24.56% ( -0.02)	43.28% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 58.22% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.4% (

0.05)

44.6% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.03% (

0.05)

66.97% (

-0.05)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.42% (

-0.04)

26.58% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.2% (

-0.05)

61.8% (

0.04)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.29% (

0.07)

20.7% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.69% (

0.12)

53.31% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 32.15%

AZ Alkmaar 43.28%

Draw 24.56%

Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 32.15%	1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.56%	1-2 @ 9.04% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.67% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.75% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 43.28%