MX23RW : Monday, March 10 14:10:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Heracles Almelo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2025 at 1.30pm UK
Erve Asito
PEC Zwolle

Heracles
4 - 2
PEC Zwolle

De Keersmaecker (8' pen.), Bruns (44'), Talvitie (58'), Hornkamp (63')
Mesik (40')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Vente (9'), Garcia McNulty (32')
van der Haar (8'), Monteiro (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heracles 2-2 AZ (3-4 pen.)
Thursday, February 27 at 7pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-1 Heerenveen
Sunday, February 16 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Heracles 1-1 PEC Zwolle

Judging their respective league positions, there is little to choose between the sides, so Sunday's game could easily swing either way. We are backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 49.52%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
HeraclesDrawPEC Zwolle
49.52% (0.061 0.06) 23.55%26.94% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 58.39% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.1% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)42.9% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.7% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)65.3% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)17.45% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.08% (0.012 0.01)47.92% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)29.27% (0.066999999999997 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.77% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)65.23% (0.083999999999989 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Heracles 49.52%
    PEC Zwolle 26.94%
    Draw 23.54%
HeraclesDrawPEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.92% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.78% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.56% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 4.53% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.49% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 49.52%
1-1 @ 10.95%
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.54%
1-2 @ 6.73% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.28% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.86% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 26.94%

Head to Head
Sep 1, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 4
PEC Zwolle
3-0
Heracles
Vente (13'), Mbayo (78'), Krastev (90+4')
Fichtinger (62')

Mesik (36'), Scheperman (90+5')
Apr 28, 2024 11.15am
Gameweek 31
PEC Zwolle
3-1
Heracles
Thy (16'), Van der Water (69'), Krastev (90+3')
Namli (49'), Krastev (75'), Lam (82')
Vejinovic (45+2')
De Keersmaecker (53'), Hrustic (89'), Bruns (90')
Oct 1, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 7
Heracles
2-1
PEC Zwolle
Hansson (69' pen., 82')
Bruns (58')
Thy (53')
Velanas (15'), Lam (29'), Buurmeester (76')
Jan 15, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 20
Heracles
0-3
PEC Zwolle
Lagsir (8'), Van den Belt (35'), Thy (39')
Oct 14, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 11
PEC Zwolle
3-2
Heracles
Kastaneer (27'), Thy (34', 36')
Armenteros (45+2'), Cicilia (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax25203253183563
2PSV EindhovenPSV25174475304555
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2514744638849
4FC Twente25137550311946
5Feyenoord24128448272144
6AZ AlkmaarAZ24134740241643
7Go Ahead Eagles2512584640641
8Fortuna SittardSittard2595113242-1032
9Heerenveen2586113145-1430
10Groningen2477102333-1028
11NAC BredaNAC Breda2584132743-1628
12Heracles2569103246-1427
13NECNijmegen2575133637-126
14PEC Zwolle2567122940-1125
15Sparta RotterdamSparta2559112434-1024
16Willem II2566132841-1324
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2445153249-1717
18Almere CityAlmere City2535171549-3414


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