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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.
Result | ||
PEC Zwolle | Draw | NEC |
31.38% (![]() | 23.61% (![]() | 45.01% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.24% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.52% (![]() | 40.48% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.14% (![]() | 62.86% (![]() |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.94% (![]() | 25.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.26% (![]() | 59.73% (![]() |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.71% (![]() | 18.28% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.65% (![]() | 49.35% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
PEC Zwolle | Draw | NEC |
2-1 @ 7.46% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.34% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.39% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.44% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.92% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.02% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.19% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.6% Total : 31.38% | 1-1 @ 10.77% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.33% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.58% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.66% ( ![]() Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.61% | 1-2 @ 9.15% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.78% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.61% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.19% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.75% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.59% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.52% ( ![]() Other @ 3.63% Total : 45.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 57 | 20 | 37 | 67 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 78 | 32 | 46 | 58 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 52 |
4 | Feyenoord | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 57 | 31 | 26 | 50 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 47 | 31 | 16 | 46 |
6 | FC Twente | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 46 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 44 |
8 | Groningen | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 32 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 32 |
10 | Heracles | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 |
11 | Heerenveen | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 31 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 30 |
13 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 30 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 29 |
15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 28 |
16 | Willem II | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 24 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 18 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 50 | -32 | 18 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |