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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | Willem II |
31.84% ( -0.01) | 23.55% ( -0.1) | 44.61% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 61.69% ( 0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.01% ( 0.49) | 39.99% ( -0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.64% ( 0.5) | 62.36% ( -0.5) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.46% ( 0.23) | 24.54% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.99% ( 0.32) | 59.01% ( -0.31) |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.75% ( 0.25) | 18.25% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.7% ( 0.41) | 49.3% ( -0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | Willem II |
2-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.73% Total : 31.84% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.55% | 1-2 @ 9.1% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.16% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.67% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.65% Total : 44.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
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