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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.5%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
41.58% ( 0.86) | 23.09% ( -0.19) | 35.33% ( -0.67) |
Both teams to score 64.68% ( 0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.42% ( 0.83) | 36.57% ( -0.83) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.27% ( 0.9) | 58.72% ( -0.9) |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.88% ( 0.72) | 18.12% ( -0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.93% ( 1.21) | 49.07% ( -1.21) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79% ( 0.04) | 21% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.22% ( 0.06) | 53.78% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.82% Total : 41.58% | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 2% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.88% Total : 35.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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