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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 79.12%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 8.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.39%) and 1-2 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.7%), while for a Heracles win it was 2-1 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
8.1% ( -0.59) | 12.77% ( -0.4) | 79.12% ( 0.99) |
Both teams to score 54.94% ( -1.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.1% ( -0.15) | 26.9% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.63% ( -0.19) | 47.36% ( 0.19) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.04% ( -1.41) | 41.96% ( 1.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.6% ( -1.25) | 78.4% ( 1.25) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.66% ( 0.14) | 5.33% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.02% ( 0.39) | 20.97% ( -0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.63% Total : 8.1% | 1-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.18% Total : 12.77% | 0-2 @ 9.62% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 9.39% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 8.16% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 6.88% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 5.98% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 4.03% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.15) 1-5 @ 3.5% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 2.6% ( -0.09) 0-6 @ 1.97% ( 0.12) 1-6 @ 1.71% ( 0.04) 2-5 @ 1.52% ( -0.04) Other @ 5.31% Total : 79.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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