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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for NEC had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.47%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | FC Twente |
30.29% ( 0.18) | 22.25% ( 0.21) | 47.47% ( -0.39) |
Both teams to score 65.68% ( -0.69) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.61% ( -0.95) | 34.39% ( 0.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.69% ( -1.07) | 56.31% ( 1.08) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.28% ( -0.36) | 22.72% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.61% ( -0.54) | 56.39% ( 0.54) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.99% ( -0.49) | 15.01% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.52% ( -0.93) | 43.47% ( 0.94) |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.17% Total : 30.29% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.25% | 1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 5.75% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.72% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.03% ( -0.05) 3-4 @ 1% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.29% Total : 47.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 16 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
4 | FC Twente | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 11 |
5 | Feyenoord | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 9 |
6 | Groningen | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
9 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
10 | Ajax | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
13 | NECNijmegen | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 6 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 6 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 17 | -15 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 0 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |