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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Twente in this match.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
46.3% ( -0.42) | 23.79% ( 0.3) | 29.91% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 59.77% ( -0.98) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.94% ( -1.33) | 42.06% ( 1.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.53% ( -1.35) | 64.46% ( 1.34) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.61% ( -0.69) | 18.38% ( 0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.47% ( -1.17) | 49.52% ( 1.17) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.23% ( -0.59) | 26.76% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.96% ( -0.78) | 62.04% ( 0.77) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.54% Total : 46.3% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.29) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.1% Total : 29.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
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