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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Twente in this match.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
46.3% ( -0.42) | 23.79% ( 0.3) | 29.91% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 59.77% ( -0.98) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.94% ( -1.33) | 42.06% ( 1.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.53% ( -1.35) | 64.46% ( 1.34) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.61% ( -0.69) | 18.38% ( 0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.47% ( -1.17) | 49.52% ( 1.17) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.23% ( -0.59) | 26.76% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.96% ( -0.78) | 62.04% ( 0.77) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.54% Total : 46.3% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.29) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.1% Total : 29.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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