MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 04:27:21| >> :60:1837:1837:
FC Utrecht
KNVB Beker | Quarter-Finals
Feb 28, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard

Utrecht
1 - 4
Spakenburg

Douvikas (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vink (12'), Admiraal (59'), Artien (66'), van der Linden (75')
Verhagen (36'), van der Linden (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's KNVB Beker clash between FC Utrecht and Spakenburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sparta 0-3 Utrecht
Friday, February 24 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Spakenburg 1-1 Katwijk (4-1 pen.)
Wednesday, February 8 at 7pm in KNVB Beker

We said: FC Utrecht 3-1 Spakenburg

Playing against lower-league opposition on home turf, Utrecht will be expected to take control of proceedings and seize the game by the scruff of the neck. We are backing the hosts to get the job done in relatively comfortable fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 68.08%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Spakenburg had a probability of 14.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 1-0 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Spakenburg win it was 1-2 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawSpakenburg
68.08% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08) 17.72% (0.029999999999998 0.03) 14.2% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 57.64% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.03% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)33.97% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.17% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)55.83% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.88% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)9.13% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.03% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)30.98% (0.07 0.07)
Spakenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.43% (0.040999999999997 0.04)36.57% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.65% (0.042999999999999 0.04)73.36% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 68.08%
    Spakenburg 14.2%
    Draw 17.72%
FC UtrechtDrawSpakenburg
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.56% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 7.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.63% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.6% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.57% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.31% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-1 @ 2.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.19% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.77%
Total : 68.08%
1-1 @ 8.04% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.34% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 17.72%
1-2 @ 4.04% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 3.36% (0.01 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.69% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.36% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 14.2%

How you voted: Utrecht vs Spakenburg

FC Utrecht
82.6%
Draw
4.3%
Spakenburg
13.0%
46
rhs 2.0
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