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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | FC Utrecht |
43.41% ( 0.21) | 24.62% ( 0.16) | 31.97% ( -0.37) |
Both teams to score 57.96% ( -0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.09% ( -0.88) | 44.91% ( 0.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.73% ( -0.85) | 67.26% ( 0.86) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.22% ( -0.27) | 20.78% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.57% ( -0.44) | 53.42% ( 0.44) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.16% ( -0.66) | 26.84% ( 0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.85% ( -0.88) | 62.14% ( 0.88) |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.73% Total : 43.41% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.61% | 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.1% Total : 31.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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