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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for NEC had a probability of 37.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.78%) and 0-2 (5.36%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Go Ahead Eagles in this match.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
37.9% ( 0) | 23.64% | 38.46% |
Both teams to score 62.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.94% | 39.06% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.62% | 61.38% ( 0) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.15% ( 0) | 20.84% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.47% | 53.53% ( 0) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.42% | 20.57% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.9% | 53.1% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
2-1 @ 8.34% 1-0 @ 6.72% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.27% 3-1 @ 4.36% 3-2 @ 3.45% 3-0 @ 2.76% 4-1 @ 1.71% 4-2 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.87% Total : 37.9% | 1-1 @ 10.63% 2-2 @ 6.59% 0-0 @ 4.29% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.64% | 1-2 @ 8.41% 0-1 @ 6.78% 0-2 @ 5.36% 1-3 @ 4.43% 2-3 @ 3.47% 0-3 @ 2.83% 1-4 @ 1.75% 2-4 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.94% Total : 38.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |