Home > Football > Eredivisie
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 52.3%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.95%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Twente |
52.3% ( -0.85) | 21.67% ( 0.26) | 26.03% ( 0.59) |
Both teams to score 64.27% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.23% ( -0.72) | 34.77% ( 0.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.27% ( -0.81) | 56.74% ( 0.81) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.45% ( -0.51) | 13.55% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.36% ( -1.02) | 40.64% ( 1.02) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.35% ( 0.03) | 25.65% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.45% ( 0.04) | 60.56% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 9.45% 1-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.07) 4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.02% Total : 52.31% | 1-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.67% | 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 26.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |