Eredivisie | Gameweek 26

Mar 17, 2024 at 7pm UK

Philips Stadion

PSV
1 - 0
FC Twente

Pepi (90+6')
de Jong (33'), Tillman (69')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Boadu (55'), Unnerstall (57'), Regeer (83'), Smal (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Dortmund 2-0 PSV
Wednesday, March 13 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Twente

All competitions

Last Game: FC Twente 2-1 Sparta
Saturday, March 9 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: PSV Eindhoven 2-1 FC Twente

PSV have been sensational this season, particularly at Philips Stadion, where they have found the net at least twice in each of their 12 league home games this season. While they will still be feeling the effects of their midweek disappointment, we are expecting them to bounce back with a solid performance in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 52.3%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.95%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	FC Twente
52.3% ( -0.85)	21.67% ( 0.26)	26.03% ( 0.59)

Both teams to score 64.27% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.23% (

-0.72)

34.77% (

0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.27% (

-0.81)

56.74% (

0.81)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.45% (

-0.51)

13.55% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.36% (

-1.02)

40.64% (

1.02)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.35% (

0.03)

25.65% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.45% (

0.04)

60.56% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 52.31%

FC Twente 26.03%

Draw 21.67%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	FC Twente
2-1 @ 9.45% 1-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.07) 4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.02% Total : 52.31%	1-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.67%	1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 26.03%