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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 52.3%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.95%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Twente |
52.3% ( -0.85) | 21.67% ( 0.26) | 26.03% ( 0.59) |
Both teams to score 64.27% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.23% ( -0.72) | 34.77% ( 0.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.27% ( -0.81) | 56.74% ( 0.81) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.45% ( -0.51) | 13.55% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.36% ( -1.02) | 40.64% ( 1.02) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.35% ( 0.03) | 25.65% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.45% ( 0.04) | 60.56% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 9.45% 1-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.07) 4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.02% Total : 52.31% | 1-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.67% | 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 26.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
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