Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.