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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.2%) and 1-0 (4.92%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
42.17% ( 0.86) | 21.69% ( -0.13) | 36.13% ( -0.73) |
Both teams to score 70.33% ( 0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.69% ( 0.53) | 29.31% ( -0.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.64% ( 0.64) | 50.35% ( -0.64) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.08% ( 0.54) | 14.91% ( -0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.7% ( 1.01) | 43.29% ( -1.01) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.66% ( -0.08) | 17.33% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.28% ( -0.15) | 47.71% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.06) 4-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.37% Total : 42.17% | 1-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.64% Total : 21.69% | 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 4.2% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.19% Total : 36.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |