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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 50.8%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 24.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-0 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
24.68% | 24.52% | 50.8% |
Both teams to score 53.01% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.01% | 48.99% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.92% | 71.07% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.69% | 34.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.98% | 71.01% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.71% | 19.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.96% | 51.04% |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
1-0 @ 7.08% 2-1 @ 6.23% 2-0 @ 3.79% 3-1 @ 2.22% 3-2 @ 1.83% 3-0 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.18% Total : 24.68% | 1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.52% | 0-1 @ 10.89% 1-2 @ 9.59% 0-2 @ 8.96% 1-3 @ 5.26% 0-3 @ 4.92% 2-3 @ 2.81% 1-4 @ 2.16% 0-4 @ 2.02% 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.03% Total : 50.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |