Eredivisie | Gameweek 23

Mar 5, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem II
0 - 0
Heerenveen

Saglam (71'), Saddiki (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Willem II and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Willem II

Last Six:

Last Game: Willem II 3-0 Utrecht
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Fortuna Sittard	33	-32	32
17	Willem II	33	-28	30
18	PEC Zwolle	33	-25	27

Heerenveen

Last Six:

Last Game: Heerenveen 3-2 AZ
Thursday, May 19 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Next Game: AZ vs. Heerenveen
Sunday, May 22 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	NEC	33	-13	38
9	Heerenveen	33	-15	38
10	Go Ahead Eagles	33	-12	36

We said: Willem II 1-1 Heerenveen

With both teams struggling for points ahead of this one, neither will be too dissatisfied with a share of the spoils, and we are backing the game to pan out that way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Willem II	Draw	Heerenveen
33.63%	26.14%	40.23%

Both teams to score 53.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.9%

51.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.05%

72.95%

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.18%

28.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.33%

64.67%

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.98%

25.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.32%

59.68%

Score Analysis

Willem II 33.63%

Heerenveen 40.23%

Draw 26.13%

Willem II	Draw	Heerenveen
1-0 @ 8.97% 2-1 @ 7.73% 2-0 @ 5.58% 3-1 @ 3.21% 3-0 @ 2.31% 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.61% Total : 33.63%	1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.21% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.13%	0-1 @ 9.99% 1-2 @ 8.61% 0-2 @ 6.92% 1-3 @ 3.98% 0-3 @ 3.2% 2-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.38% 0-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.57% Total : 40.23%