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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 47.89%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Cambuur |
47.89% ( 0.02) | 24.91% ( -0) | 27.2% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.06% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.3% ( -0) | 48.7% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.19% ( -0) | 70.81% ( 0.01) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.63% ( 0.01) | 20.37% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.21% ( 0.01) | 52.79% ( -0.01) |
Cambuur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.89% ( -0.01) | 32.11% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.42% ( -0.01) | 68.58% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Cambuur |
1-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.99% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.39% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.83% 4-1 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.73% Total : 47.88% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.91% | 0-1 @ 7.43% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.22% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 27.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
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