Home > Football > Eredivisie
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
35.72% (![]() | 26.46% (![]() | 37.82% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.64% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.82% (![]() | 52.18% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.11% (![]() | 73.89% (![]() |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.94% (![]() | 28.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.29% (![]() | 63.71% (![]() |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.17% (![]() | 26.83% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.87% (![]() | 62.13% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
1-0 @ 9.57% (![]() 2-1 @ 8% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.08% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.39% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 2.8% Total : 35.72% | 1-1 @ 12.58% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.53% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.26% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 9.9% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.28% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.51% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.63% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.86% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.31% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.19% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.19% Total : 37.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 57 | 20 | 37 | 67 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 78 | 32 | 46 | 58 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 52 |
4 | Feyenoord | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 57 | 31 | 26 | 50 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 47 | 31 | 16 | 46 |
6 | FC Twente | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 46 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 44 |
8 | Groningen | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 32 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 32 |
10 | Heracles | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 |
11 | Heerenveen | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 31 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 30 |
13 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 30 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 29 |
15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 28 |
16 | Willem II | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 24 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 18 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 50 | -32 | 18 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |