Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
