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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
PEC Zwolle | Draw | FC Twente |
40.74% | 26.06% | 33.19% |
Both teams to score 53.51% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.13% | 50.87% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.25% | 72.75% |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.35% | 24.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.84% | 59.16% |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.01% | 28.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.11% | 64.88% |
Score Analysis |
PEC Zwolle | Draw | FC Twente |
1-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 7.01% 3-1 @ 4.05% 3-0 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.66% Total : 40.74% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.14% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 8.85% 1-2 @ 7.67% 0-2 @ 5.48% 1-3 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 2.22% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.57% Total : 33.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |