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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 72.61%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 11.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-3 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.09%), while for a Willem II win it was 2-1 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
11.6% ( -0.5) | 15.78% ( -0.2) | 72.61% ( 0.69) |
Both teams to score 57.1% ( -0.98) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.04% ( -0.43) | 30.96% ( 0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.66% ( -0.51) | 52.34% ( 0.51) |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.67% ( -1.09) | 38.33% ( 1.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.91% ( -1.06) | 75.09% ( 1.06) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.59% ( 0.03) | 7.41% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.31% ( 0.09) | 26.68% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.68% Total : 11.61% | 1-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.21% Total : 15.78% | 0-2 @ 9.62% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 9.22% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 8.34% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 8% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.19) 0-4 @ 5.43% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 5.21% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.12) 0-5 @ 2.83% ( 0.09) 1-5 @ 2.71% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 2.5% ( -0.07) 2-5 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) 0-6 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) 1-6 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.83% Total : 72.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 20 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 65 | 20 | 45 | 49 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 41 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 23 |
14 | Groningen | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 21 |
15 | Heracles | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 20 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 17 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 44 | -22 | 11 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
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