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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 55.43%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 23% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.98%) and 1-0 (7.98%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
55.43% ( 2.36) | 21.58% ( -0.26) | 23% ( -2.1) |
Both teams to score 60.98% ( -1.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.46% ( -1.04) | 37.54% ( 1.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.23% ( -1.13) | 59.77% ( 1.13) |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.47% ( 0.38) | 13.53% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.41% ( 0.76) | 40.59% ( -0.76) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.52% ( -2.23) | 29.48% ( 2.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.51% ( -2.81) | 65.48% ( 2.81) |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.61) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.5) 3-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.47) 3-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.27) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.68% Total : 55.43% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.58% | 1-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.37) 0-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.32) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.28) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.18) Other @ 3.14% Total : 23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 20 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 65 | 20 | 45 | 49 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 41 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 23 |
14 | Groningen | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 21 |
15 | Heracles | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 20 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 17 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 44 | -22 | 11 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
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