Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 55.22%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 23.11% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.