We said: Celje 1-2 APOEL
With the hosts unbeaten at home in the competition and APOEL unbeaten on their travels in the Conference League, this makes it difficult to pick a winner here.
Despite the similarities in their seasons, we think that the visitors have a little bit more quality and experience in their squad, and this should help them to secure a vital victory on Thursday evening.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for APOEL had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.36%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest APOEL win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.