Europa Conference League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina1 - 0Sivasspor
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 AC Milan
Saturday, March 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Saturday, March 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Karagumruk 4-3 Sivasspor
Saturday, March 4 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Saturday, March 4 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig
We said: Fiorentina 3-0 Sivasspor
Fiorentina are one of the favourites to win the entire tournament let alone a home tie against a struggling Turkish team still piecing itself back together after the natural disasters in the area. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 68.16%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Sivasspor had a probability of 13.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Sivasspor win it was 1-2 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Sivasspor |
68.16% ( 0.01) | 18.22% ( -0.01) | 13.62% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 54.04% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
