Europa Conference League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 16, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Yeni Sivas 4 Eylül Stadyumu
Sivasspor1 - 4Fiorentina
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cabral (44'), Milenkovic (62'), Goutas (78' og.), Castrovilli (89')
Martinez (65'), Milenkovic (90+2')
Martinez (65'), Milenkovic (90+2')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Istanbulspor 3-0 Sivasspor
Monday, March 13 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Monday, March 13 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Cremonese 0-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, March 12 at 2pm in Serie A
Sunday, March 12 at 2pm in Serie A
We said: Sivasspor 1-2 Fiorentina
If Fiorentina can replicate anywhere near the same quantity and quality of chances as they did in the first leg while, perhaps just as importantly, snuffing out Sivasspor's counter-attacking threat as effectively, Italiano's side will surely take their winning streak into the Conference League quarter-finals. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 54.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Sivasspor had a probability of 21.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Sivasspor win it was 1-0 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Sivasspor | Draw | Fiorentina |
21.92% ( 0.02) | 23.72% ( 0.09) | 54.36% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 52.25% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.58% ( -0.38) | 48.42% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.44% ( -0.35) | 70.55% ( 0.35) |
Sivasspor Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.49% ( -0.2) | 36.51% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.7% ( -0.2) | 73.3% ( 0.2) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.29% ( -0.18) | 17.71% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.64% ( -0.31) | 48.36% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Sivasspor 21.92%
Fiorentina 54.35%
Draw 23.72%
Sivasspor | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 21.92% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.72% | 0-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.76% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.69% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.63% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 5.59% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.44% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.57% Total : 54.35% |
How you voted: Sivasspor vs Fiorentina
Sivasspor
21.9%Draw
9.6%Fiorentina
68.5%73
Head to Head
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-09-29 19:08:03
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Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 15 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
3 | Arsenal | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 14 |
4 | Chelsea | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
5 | Aston Villa | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
6 | Fulham | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 10 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
11 | Brentford | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 7 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
13 | Bournemouth | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 5 |
15 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 |
16 | Everton | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 3 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 |
19 | Southampton | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 1 |
20 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
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